A detailed analysis of what happened in Liguria with the victory of the former mayor of Genoa will require more time. Marco BucciFor an independent centre-right candidate Regional electionsAgainst Wazir Dam Andrea Orlando. Despite critical voices from the electorate, Campo Largo of the Pd and M5s was not defeated, given the small percentage difference between the two proposals. However, national political elections seem to outline a change in mood among Italians.
Georgia MaloneyThanks to the 2025 budget, which is not being liked by many categories, Loses the voteAt least possibly, and the majority parties don’t look as strong as they did a few weeks ago. In just two weeks there will be an important test for all formations: the regional elections in Emilia-Romagna and Umbria on 17 and 18 November. It will also be thanks to these consultations that we will be able to better understand the political sentiments in these tense times.
Who goes up and who goes down in political elections?
gave Super Media Of YouTrend e grew up Calculates a weighted average of detected Italians’ voting intentions. Let’s look at the new survey data for October 31, 2024. Voting Intentions from last 15 days. Comparison with figures from previous political elections in brackets:
- Brothers from Italy: 29.2% (-0.4);
- Democratic Party: 22.6% (-0.2);
- 5 Star Movement: 11.9% (+0.4);
- Forza Italia: 9.2% (=);
- Liga: 8,6% (+0,2);
- Green and Left Alliance: 6.2% (-0.2);
- Share: 2.7% (-0.2);
- Italia Viva: 2.3% (=);
- +Europe: 2% (+0,2);
- We are moderate: 1% (=).
The institutions under consideration are: Demopolis, Umetra, Euromedia, Ipsos, Noto, Pepoli, Quorum, Swg e TechBased on polls conducted on October 18-29.
Allied percentages: All comparisons
Let’s see what is the percentage collected from different people today. Unity and comparisons with policies for the 2024 European elections and the renewal of parliament in 2022.
Al October 31 The situation was:
- Center-right: 48.4%;
- Center left: 31.4%;
- 5 Star Movement: 11.4%;
- third pole: 5%;
- Other: 3.8%.
all European elections Instead of 8 and 9 June 2024:
- Center-right: 46.4%;
- Center left: 32.1%;
- 5 Star Movement: 9.8%;
- third pole: 7.1%;
- Other: 4.7%.
all Political elections 25 September 2022:
- Center-right: 43.8%;
- Center left: 26.1%;
- 5-star movement: 15.4%;
- third pole: 7.8%;
- Other: 6.9%.
Bucci win in Liguria, big defeat for 5 Star Movement
The news of the political week can only be the victory of Marco Bucci in the elections in Liguria. The centre-right is happy, but on balance has lost several percentage points compared to the last consultation in which it was elected. Giovanni broke up. – resigned after an investigation overwhelmed the area. This time around there is less to celebrate as the gulf with rivals has not reached sensational proportions. The former mayor did not survive the landslide, partly due to Genoese’s rejection.
Analysis of the vote shows the first signs of the weakening of the parties of Georgia Maloney’s government, with the League practically halving the consensus in Liguria compared to 4 years ago and the centre-left making a comeback. Alone, since 5 star movement Appears as a big loser in elections with less than 5% of the vote.
Regional consultations, like those of European countries, are never a reliable means of measuring national mood. But they can serve to understand the state of health of individual parties and the roles involved. Just last week there was talk of a rift between Giuseppe Conte and Beppe Grillo. This disappointing result will surely weigh on the divorce and five star leadership change.
