He said it for months on the campaign trail and repeated it as the first thing after winning the US presidential election: Donald Trump is ready. “Stop All Wars”. And in just 24 hours. Propaganda and the illusion of omnipotence, of course, but one that masks a clear vision of the American approach to open conflict in the world.
A clear picture is the war in Ukraine. Obviously that’s about it. A view away from the Biden administrationwhich established unwavering support for the aggressor country. Trump’s version instead envisages a clear opening for Russia and the material isolation of the United States, which will fall on the shoulders of European states.
Trump wants an empire without affiliation.
Mantra of Donald Trump It is clear: “We want. A strong and powerful armyand ideally need not use it.” The United States is technically an empire, and Empires war.. Not just to survive anymore, but because they don’t know how to do anything else and because they are now. Overexposure on multiple fronts. Even if they want to deviate.
Trump’s victory over Kamala Harris It highlighted the superiority of an America tired of protecting other peoples and wars. Who says to maintain the empire, imperceptible by a slight snap of the fingers and much less by the president, but at the same time Reduce overall commitment Focusing on home economics and immigration. In other words: We want gloryBut we don’t want to die anymore to keep it. After all, we have already done a lot.
Trump’s strategy for Ukraine and Russia
“If I were in the White House, I will end the war in Ukraine in 24 hours.“How many times has he said it, Trump. Now he has a chance to follow through on his words. But our duty is to separate reality from propaganda, to understand what might actually happen.” America cannot reward Russia except UkraineBecause the former is the primary pawn against the latter, a strategic rival for global hegemony. The former was chosen as the theater of conflict between the NATO bloc and Russia, which for years now has turned its sights and resources eastward, moving dangerously close to China with its ambitions for Eurasian hegemony. are NATO It holds together a diverse European front based on self-generated and fear of the Russian threat.
In short, the tycoon now finds himself in the uncomfortable position of having to clarify how he really intends to proceed on the matter. In fact, Trump did not. Never specifically described the content. And the methods of his plan to bring the Russians and Ukrainians (sitting behind the Americans) to the negotiating table. “I can’t give you those plans because if I give them to you, I won’t be able to use them,” the Republican declared on the campaign trail. An unprecedented proposal from Trump’s officeDisseminated by those close to the president-elect, it provides three basic points:
- Kyiv’s refusal to join NATO For at least 20 years. In return, the US would continue to supply Ukraine with weapons on paper to deter future Russian aggression, while in reality outsourcing the industrial and war effort to EU countries. However, Ukraine would gain some affiliation with the EU, which would require it to take on political, economic and military responsibility.
- Going to the front line gym In a state of war, that is, recognition of Russian victories and possible concessions of Ukrainian territories unilaterally annexed by Moscow, and confirmation of a demilitarized zone on the Korean model. It is not yet clear who will patrol the line, but a close Trump adviser said the peacekeeping force would not include US troops, nor would it come from a US-funded international body such as the United Nations.
- Cessation of arms supplies to Ukraine Unless the country agrees to enter into peace talks with Russia. It’s a proposal put forward as early as 2024 by Keith Kellogg and Fred Flatz, both Trump administration officials. In that case Kiev could still try to regain lost territory, but only through diplomatic negotiations.
These points are also partly a result of this. Closeness between Trump and Putinwhom the tycoon envies with marked verticality of power. It is unclear what and what strategy the new administration will adopt, but it will have to align itself with the US apparatus and the line of Congress. In any case, any Ukraine will have to be planned Dealing with various damages. First, the Kremlin does not seem ready to accept that the US is continuing to arm Ukraine even after the conflict has been frozen. Not forgetting the huge bubbling embroidery of Sanctions against Moscow Still active and NATO expansion plans that, in the Russian vision, threaten another strategic region like the Caucasus.
Trump’s strategy for Israel and the Middle East
Trump’s strategy regarding the Middle East is also clear. In July, in the middle of the election race, a New York tycoon called. Benjamin Netanyahu Rhetorically ask him to “end the conflict while he’s in office” in the White House. Another delusion of omnipotence, but we must admit that they were right about the election. However, it is a shame that it was accompanied by the phrase “the killing in Gaza must stop soon”. “Try to win this battle quickly”. Translation: Israel does everything it has to do in the strip. In Lebanon. The result: over 120,000 victims in Gaza (just over 43,000 we read) and over 3,000 in Lebanon.
American policy toward the Middle East may therefore retrace paths that have already been explored. Jared KushnerTrump’s son-in-law and father Abraham contractswhich has already proven itself to be highly attached to the “real estate potential of the Gaza waterfront”. With possible support from the former ambassador David Friedmanco-author of a book with former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo With the clear title: “A Jewish State: The Last, Best Hope for Resolving the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict,” Trump will also aim to resume a policy of maximum pressure.IranA real threat to hegemony in the Middle East and a so-called member Axis of Evil With Russia and China.
During his first term, Trump recognized Jerusalem as the legitimate capital of Israel. Until moving the US embassy there. The tycoon’s tendency toward the far right grew even more under the Netanyahu government. In fact, Washington:
- It cut funding to UNRWA, the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestinian refugees in the Middle East.
- Withdraw from the nuclear deal with Iran (JCPOA) and re-introduce secondary sanctions that were suspended in January 2016.
- On January 3, 2020, Iranian guards ordered the killing of Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani, who was killed by an American drone.
- recognized Israeli sovereignty over the occupied Golan Heights with Syria;
- Abrahamic accords between Israel and the Arab kingdoms and promoted diplomatic normalcy without making any concessions to the Palestinians.
