According to English scientists, mega current can fall well in Europe and cause cooling, but not in the years to come. However, the first consequences of the current weakening can be noticeable long before its end.
The evolution of the Sea AMOC Current has become one of the subjects that are most studied ClamsologistClamsologist In recent years. And for good reason, this current mega plays an important role in the climate of Arctic and Europe, especially in our climate work. It leads the hot waters of the South Atlantic to the highest levels of the North Atlantic. If global warming weakens this current (including Gulf stream Part), which, in many scientists, we may be involved in a local cooling that will have devastating consequences in Europe and especially in France. Ours WinterWinter Then North Canada can be as far as remote.
In previous studies only focuses on the Ocean Ocean
Meteorologists of the English Met Office and the University of Executors have just published a new study NatureThe results of which are partially disturbing and partially assuring: According to them, the MoC can be weak at the current fall, but not in the years to come. ModelingModeling Climate in the future shows that current temperature rise and will resist the results of its cooperationFresh waterFresh water (From SourceSource Ice cream) in the North Atlantic for decades. Its weakness depends mainly VentusVentus According to Professor Watson, the main author of this study, who circulates over the Indian Ocean.
So far, most researchers have focused on current changes in the Atlantic, to try to identify the evolution of the AMOC. However, according to the authors of the study, what happens at the Indian Ocean is even more important. “” ” AMOC is far more resistant to climate change than we think, but this discovery does not change the overall evolution of the present “, Met Office Director Ravan Sutton explains.
No end before at least 2100
Researchers have modeling climate evolution up to 2100, and the results shows that by then, “ It is not very likely FallFall Ha ». However, this does not mean that nothing will happen in the next 75 years: AMOC will continue to weaken, the results are going to be The weather reportThe weather report In Arctic and Europe.
The results of this study are included with the previous study published in January last January Nature communications. Calculation methods were different, but the end of these other researchers was eventually the same: “ This time is left before falling ».
The danger is still hiding behind this new hope, even if it is too far away. As one of the authors explained, Jeff Wells, “ It is unlikely that in the years to come, my house will suffer from fire, but I will still make sure that I have risk insurance. ».
